#025 - Unpacking Compound VC's Deep Dive Report on DePIN's Present and Future š¦

Welcome back to the DePIN Hub Newsletter, where you can find the freshest dose of alpha in 1 page instead of 100
Ever feel like you need 10 monitors to keep up with all the DePIN developments? Don't worry, we've got your backāand we've done the note taking for you. š
We've just condensed a month's worth of research into a 20-minute read, distilling Compound VC's mammoth 100-page report on DePIN's present and future. This weekās newsletter gives you the essential insights without the information overload.
Let's jump in! š
In the News š°
š Mawari raises in $10.8M strategic funding to scale spatial computing ā well aligned with Meta's preview of the Orion
š Helium, Multicoin, Filecoin, CESS, and others brought DePIN to US Congress, showcasing decentralized infrastructure's potential to lawmakers
š Glow has become one of the highest revenue-generating DePIN projects recently
Feature

Unpacking Compound VC's Deep Dive Report on DePIN's Present and Future
A few weeks ago, Knower and Smac from the New York-based investment fund Compound VC published a colossal report entitled DePIN's Imperfect Present & Promising Future: A Deep Dive.
Representing over a month's work ācondensedā into more than 30,000 words, the report has been making waves on Crypto and DePIN Twitter, with even the likes of EV3 Sal pitching in and sharing their thoughts online.
While we highly encourage everyone to read through the report (it's an awesome perspective on DePIN, trust us), we understand that not everyone may have the time to soak up 100+ pages of decentralized goodness.
That's why, in this week's blog, we're here to break down the most impactful predictions and analyses, and offer practical advice for you based on the combined insights from the deep-dive and our own expertise.
As DePIN enthusiasts ourselves, this report arrives at a pivotal momentāitās a detailed look at our current standing and potential trajectory. The landscape is transforming more rapidly than ever. With recent developments at TOKEN2049 and Solana Breakpoint, there has never been a more thrilling time to be part of this space.

Join us as we separate the signal from the noise and unpack what this groundbreaking report means for all of us in the DePIN ecosystem.
The TLDR, explained in plain English
First off, let's break down this mammoth report into bite-sized pieces that won't hurt your brain.
What's the big deal about DePIN? You already know this, but again, Knower and Smac reestablish that it's not just another crypto buzzwordāit's flipping the script on everything, from how you get your internet to how energy flows into your home.
The report kicks off by painting a picture of a world where decentralized networks could solve some pretty big headaches:
- More efficient use of resources (no more wasted energy or bandwidth)
- Greater transparency (bye-bye, shady backroom deals)
- Democratized ownership of infrastructure (power to the people, literally)
- Fewer single points of failure (so one 'oopsie' doesn't take down the whole system)
It then dives into six key areas where DePIN is already making waves:
- Telecom & connectivityāDemocratizing mobile networks and internet access.
- EnergyāImagine your solar panels making you money while you sleep.
- Compute, storage & bandwidthāLike Airbnb, but for your computer's spare time.
- Decentralized AIāBecause why should big tech have all the AI fun?
- Data capture & managementāTurning your daily commute into valuable data.
- ServiceāFrom restaurant loyalty programs to decentralized Uber-like services.
But of course, it's not all sunshine and rainbows. The report doesn't shy away from the challenges DePIN faces:
- Balancing supply and demand (it's way trickier than it sounds)
- Creating sustainable tokenomics (no more pump-and-dump, plz)
- Navigating regulatory hurdles (because governments love their red tape)
But THEN here's where it gets exciting: The report suggests that DePIN could be the answer to some pretty big questions:
- How do we build infrastructure that can keep up with exploding demand?
- Can we create systems that are more resilient to outages and attacks?
- Is there a way to make infrastructure more efficient and environmentally friendly?

The ultimate takeaway is that DePIN isn't just about making a quick buck in crypto (though let's be honest, we wouldn't mind that). It's about reimagining the very foundation of our digital and physical world.
This report is saying one thing loud and clear: Keep your eyes on this space.
And that, friends, is the TLDR of a monthās work, 30,000 words, and 100+ pages of DePIN goodness. Phew!
But we ask you to keep on reading.
We're about to dive deep into each sector, giving you:
- the complete lowdown on every project mentioned
- our team's insider insights
- and most importantly, how to actually use this information to your advantage
This is your personal DePIN cheat sheet, folksāmiss this, and you might as well be building your strategy with a Magic 8 Ball. š¤·
Telecom & connectivity

This section was divided into 3: mobile, fixed wireless, and WiFi.
But first, they talk about data: the average American is now churning out a whopping 53 terabytes of data in 2024. (The growth is like a kiddie pool to the PACIFIC OCEAN in just two years). And with AI creeping into every nook and cranny of our lives, we're looking at a future where your toaster might be uploading more data than your entire family did in 2020.
Traditional telcos are sweating bullets trying to keep up. They're pouring money into upgrades faster than you can say "buffer," but their piggy banks are starting to look a little anemic. š Enter us DePIN folks to save the dayāand maybe make a few bucks while weāre at it.
Projects covered:
- Helium (Mobile wireless)
- Karrier One (5G network)
- Really (Encrypted wireless carrier)
- Andrena (Fixed wireless)
- Althea (Fixed wireless)
- Dabba (WiFi)
- WiCrypt (WiFi)
Key takeaways from us and the report:
- WiFi is dubbed the āleast attractive sub sectorā due to abundant supply, but we think itās the easiest, most obvious way to connect the unconnected.
- Our head of growth and strategy, Michael, notes that the report assumes that public WiFi is ubiquitous in regions like Africa and the Indian subcontinent, when itās not. These emerging markets have some of the fastest growing populations, that are young, and hungry for data.
- Mobile DePIN, led by Helium, is disrupting the industry by offloading CapEx to hotspot owners, enabling more affordable plans.
- Helium's hybrid MVNO model allows partnerships with traditional MNOs while leveraging its own network for additional capacity and cost reduction.
- Competitors like Karrier One (focusing on underserved communities) and Really (emphasizing privacy) may face significant challenges in scaling and regulatory compliance.
- Fixed wireless (wireless comms systems connecting two fixed locations like building to building, or tower to building) faces potential headwinds from 'cord cutting' and improving satellite technology, but players like Andrena and Althea are innovating with radio signal-based internet and intermediary node systems.
Weāre intrigued by Karrier One's identity crisis (Telecom or Fintech? š) and Really's fairly unripe telco street cred. Plus, to outsmart the US government on privacy is a tall order, even for the most decentralized of networks.
HOWEVER, while the report might've dismissed WiFi as yesterday's news, weāre seeing dollar signs (or should we say token signs?) especially after Wicrypt and Dabbaās successes. Theyāre not just building networks; they're potentially bringing millions of people online for the first time. Now that's what we call a moon shot! š
So, will Helium keep its crown, or will an underdog steal the show? Can fixed wireless survive the cord-cutting apocalypse? And will WiFi be the dark horse that takes us all by surprise?
Your guess is as good as ours; it's anyone's game.
Energy

In the report, this section dove into three key areas: Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), Virtual Power Plants (VPPs), and energy data marketplaces.
Projects covered:
- Daylight (DER data marketplace)
- SCRFUL (Helium sub-network for solar and battery storage)
- Plural (Renewable energy investment platform)
- Glow (Solar farm incentivization)
- Star Power (Hardware-focused VPP creator)
- Power Ledger (P2P energy trading and traceability)
Key takeaways from us and the report:
- Authors are bullish on decentralized energy and believe itās well-suited for DePIN.
- Regulatory tailwinds are giving DePIN energy projects a boost, potentially accelerating adoption and innovation in the sector.
- Distributed Energy Resources (DERs) present both an opportunity and a challenge, offering localized power generation but requiring complex integration into existing grids.
- Virtual Power Plants (VPPs) are emerging as a solution to balance fluctuating energy demand by aggregating and coordinating DERs.
- Daylight and SCRFUL are focusing on data collection and aggregation of DER information, with plans to leverage this for future VPP development.
- Glow's success in incentivizing solar farm deployments challenges the authors' skepticism about carbon credit markets.
- Hardware-focused approaches, like Starpower's, are aiming to turn common household appliances into grid-balancing assets.
- The industry faces significant technical challenges in updating grid infrastructure to accommodate bi-directional energy flow without compromising reliability or security.
Now, let's address the elephant (or should we say DePIN?) in the room.
Projects Plural and Power Ledger, although also playing in the energy sandbox, donāt seem to be building sandcastles with DePIN. No beef here; itās just thatātalking energy doesn't automatically equate to decentralizing physical infrastructure, folks.
And while we're all for saving the planet, the jury's still out on whether carbon credit markets are the golden ticket or just a really complicated game of hot potato. š„
Fortunately though, while the authors are skeptical about carbon credit markets, Glow is out here proving them wrong, raking in the dough as one of the highest revenue-generating DePINs.

So, what's the forecast for decentralized energy? Will we soon be trading our excess energy like PokĆ©mon cards? Can DePIN finally make renewable energy the no-brainer it should be? Weāre yet to see.
Who knew saving the planet could be so profitable?
Compute, Storage, and Bandwidth

This section breaks down into three key areas: compute marketplaces, decentralized storage, and content delivery networks (CDNs).
Projects covered:
- Akash (Compute marketplace)
- io.net (Compute marketplace)
- Livepeer (Video infrastructure)
- Filecoin (Decentralized storage)
- Jackal (Secure storage)
- Arweave (Permanent storage)
Key takeaways from us and the report:
- AI's insatiable appetite for compute is driving innovation. Meta dropped a cool $600M just to train Llama 3.1. Expensive education.
- Distributed compute for AI training is the new gold rush, but it's not without its challenges. Latency, security, consistency, and scalability are the four horsemen of the decentralized apocalypse.
- The basic user flow is simple: I need X compute at Y price meets I've got compute, show me the money! But making it work smoothly? That's where the magic (and the headaches) happen.
- Livepeer is turning heads by tackling the video streaming beast. Considering 80% of bandwidth goes to cat videos and influencer reels, they might be onto something.
- Filecoin is the OG of decentralized storage, but newcomers like Jackal are spicing things up with cross-chain compatibility and a focus on encryption.
- Arweave is going full sci-fi with its "permaweb"āit's like they're building the internet's own Fort Knox.
- There's a growing buzz around security and verification solutions, because if we're going to decentralize everything, we better make sure it's locked down tighter than the Pentagon.
Now, for the million-token question: Can these decentralized networks really compete with the tech giants?

While projects like Akash and Livepeer are making waves, challenges remain. Io.net's vision is ambitious, but whispers about large-scale spoofing remind us that in this brave new world, security and trust are as crucial as raw computing power.
So, whether you're bullish on bandwidth or salivating over storage, the world of compute, storage, and bandwidth is getting a DePIN makeover.
Decentralized AI

This section explores the fascinating intersection of DePIN and AI, covering everything from decentralized AI marketplaces to distributed model training and data monetization.
Projects covered:
- Bittensor (Decentralized AI marketplace)
- Prodia (Decentralized image generation)
- Ritual (AI integration for blockchain apps)
- Grass (Bandwidth monetization for AI training)
Key takeaways from us and the report:
- Bittensor is the golden child of DeAI, with a token that's hotter than a freshly mined Bitcoin. It's like the crypto world's Magic 8 Ball for AI trends.
- Prodia is throwing its hat in the ring against Midjourney. Because why should centralized servers have all the fun generating bizarre AI art?
- Grass, a project weāve covered in-depth, is turning your unused bandwidth into an AI buffet. Who knew your internet's idle time could feed the hungry minds of machine learning?

Now, this is what weāre ponderingā¦
Is every AI-branded project truly revolutionizing the space, or are some just surfing the hype wave? Bittensor's token is sizzling, and Prodia's taking on Midjourney at its own gameābut the jury's still out on whether all these projects are truly changing the AI landscape or just adding a blockchain flavor to existing recipes.
The good thing is, while we're all playing "spot the revolution," these projects might just be quietly rewriting the rules of AI development and deployment. Talk about a plot twist in the tech world!
Data Capture and Management

This covers everythingāfrom mapping to weather forecasting. It's like the DePIN version of "miscellaneous," but with a dash of real-world impact.
Projects covered:
- Hivemapper (Decentralized mapping)
- Spexi (Drone-based imagery)
- Geodnet (Geospatial data)
- Onocoy (RTK infrastructure)
- Foam (Crowdsourced mapping without satellites)
- WeatherXM (Decentralized weather data)
- dClimate (Weather data marketplace)
- PlanetWatch (Air quality monitoring)
Key takeaways from us and the report:
- Data is king, but not all data wears a crown. Its true worth is determined by market dynamics. Based on Messari's 2023 State of DePIN report, valuable data is determined by a large pool of buyers with great financial resources that actually find your data a competitive advantage.
- The geospatial positioning and reference data market is a sleeping giant, potentially surpassing $100bn in the next few years.
- Weather DePIN has a two-fold mission: create more accurate predictive models and provide more localized, real-time information.
- Indirect monetization opportunities exist, such as predicting optimal times and locations for solar and wind farms.
- High-resolution, quality data is crucial. Projects like Spexi need to ensure their data is sharp enough to cut through the market noise.
Now, here's what's really got our gears turning: Are we on the cusp of a data revolution, or just building a more elaborate digital filing cabinet?
As our head of growth and strategy, Michael, pointedly notes, many DePIN founders might be seeing dollar signs without fully grasping the complexities of the data market. It's not just about collecting data; it's about understanding who's buying, why they're buying, and what makes the data truly valuable.
We'll be keeping a keen eye on which projects can navigate the intricate balance between data value, market demand, and practical application.
Services

This catch-all category is where DePIN really flexes its innovation muscles. We're talking about projects that don't fit neatly into other boxes but are shaking things up in their own unique ways.
But first, we'll address the physical vs. virtual debate. Itās a fair argument to make that the more physical a network is, the harder it is to achieve escape velocity. But here's the plot twist: if these physical networks do take off, they might just build moats so wide you'd need a rocket to cross them. It's like comparing building sandcastles to constructing actual castlesāone's easier to start, but the other's a lot harder to knock down.
Projects covered:
- DIMO (Connected car platform)
- PuffPaw ('Vape-to-earn' smoking cessation)
- Heale (Logistics industry data)
- Blackbird (Restaurant loyalty app)
- Shaga (Cloud gaming)
Key takeaways from us the report:
- Physical networks may face higher initial hurdles but could potentially build stronger moats in the long run.
- The Services category showcases DePIN's versatility, tackling everything from smoking cessation to restaurant loyalty.
- The logistics industry, often overlooked, presents a massive $10.4 trillion opportunity for DePIN innovation.
- Novel approaches like 'vape-to-earn' demonstrate the creative potential of token incentives in behavior modification.
- DePIN is making inroads into established industries like dining and gaming, potentially disrupting traditional business models.
- In the open-source software world, building durable competitive advantages is challenging but crucial for long-term success.
Is 'vape-to-earn' the future of public health, or just a wild experiment in tokenized behavior change? Can Heale really take a bite out of that $10.4 trillion logistics pie? And will Blackbird turn your dinner reservations into a crypto portfolio?
The Services category is where DePIN gets to play mad scientist, mixing token economics with real-world problems in ways we never imagined. And it might actually solve some pretty big challenges along the way.
Whether these projects become the next big thing or end up as crypto curiosities, they're pushing the boundaries of what's possible when you combine blockchain with... well, just about anything. So keep your eyes peeled.
Your personal roadmap to thriving in the ever-changing world of DePIN

Still there? Feeling a bit overwhelmed?
We wouldnāt leave you without an ACTUAL gameplan.
Hereās a simple to do list we compiled for you so you can maximize (and apply!) the sweet alpha we learned today.
- Show me the money (no, really)āTokenomics are cool and all, but you know what's cooler? Actual revenue. Look for projects that have a clear path to profitability, not just a fancy white paper.
- Know your marketāUnderstanding the real-world market for a DePIN project can get tricky. That's why we've got our Due Diligence and Investment Framework. It really is your ultimate guide to awesomeness.
- Deep dive into DePIN's biggest playersāOur 30-hour masterclass compilation features the most prominent DePIN projects discussing their real-world impact. It's your backstage pass to understanding the strategies and visions of DePIN's frontrunners.
- Regulation: the ultimate boss battleāKeep an eye on the regulatory landscape. It's like playing Minesweeper, but with real consequences. Our podcast interviews with DePIN founders often touch on these challenges, giving you insider insights.
- Network effects: the holy grailāLook for projects that can create strong network effects. It's like social media, but instead of cat videos, you're sharing compute power or energy.
- Sustainability isn't just a buzzwordāLong-term viability is key. If a project's token emissions look more like a Ponzi scheme than a sustainable model, run faster than you would from a bear with a blockchain.
- Cross-pollination is keyāThe most exciting innovations often happen at the intersection of different DePIN sectors. Our weekly newsletter keeps you up to date on these cross-sector developments. It's like getting a cheat code for the DePIN game.
- Stay curious, stay learningāThe DePIN space moves faster than a caffeinated cheetah. Keep learning, keep questioning, and for heaven's sake, keep reading our blog. We promise to keep the dad jokes coming along with the cutting-edge insights.
Remember, in the world of DePIN, today's pipe dream could be tomorrow's unicorn. So stay informed, stay critical, and most importantly, stay subscribed to our content.
Who knows? The next big DePIN idea might just come from you.
And when it does, you know who to call for that sweet, sweet due diligence. š
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Parting Words š

āGib alpha, we want alphaā you ask, we deliver šš„